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热词推荐: 基础设施能源

气候变化对非洲可持续发展的挑战及早期预警应对

文章摘要

气候变化正以前所未有的速度和规模影响着全球,非洲作为受其威胁最严重的地区之一,近年来气候变化趋势显著、极端天气事件频发、气候灾害加剧。这严重影响了非洲农业生产,导致脆弱人群饥饿和营养不良,加剧水等自然资源的压力,危害公众福祉和社会稳定,给其可持续发展带来了巨大挑战。早期预警系统是应对气候变化、促进可持续发展的有效手段,具有显著的社会经济效益。然而,目前非洲在早期预警系统建设和实施方面还面临着观测能力不足、基础设施落后、科研能力欠缺以及政局动荡等诸多问题,这些问题制约了早期预警有效性的发挥。近年来,在双边、多边工作机制的支持下,非洲早期预警系统建设取得了一定进展,增强了应对气候变化的能力。本文建议进一步强化以人为本的理念,提升人员素质,推动多维预警、智慧预警,不断提升早期预警的能力和水平,从而为实现非洲可持续发展提供坚实的保障。

Abstract

Climate change is impacting the globe at unprecedented speed and scale. As one of the regions most severely threatened,Africa has seen significant climate change trends in recent years,with frequent extreme weather events and exacerbated climate disasters. These factors are seriously impacting agricultural production,leading to hunger and malnutrition among vulnerable populations,increasing pressure on natural resources such as water,and threatening public well-being and social stability,posing significant challenges to sustainable development. Early warning systems are an effective means to address climate change and promote sustainable development,offering significant socio-economic benefits. However,Africa currently faces numerous issues in the construction and implementation of early warning systems,including insufficient observation capacity,underdeveloped infrastructure,lack of scientific expertise,and political instability,which hinder the effectiveness of early warnings. In recent years,with the support of bilateral and multilateral working mechanisms,progress has been made in Africa’s early warning system development,enhancing its capacity to respond to climate change. This paper suggests further strengthening a people-centered approach,improving personnel skills,promoting multi-dimensional and smart early warning systems,and continuously enhancing early warning capabilities. This will provide a solid foundation for achieving sustainable development in Africa.

作者简介
刘岫清:刘岫清,中国气象局工作,研究气候变化与可持续发展、早期预警国际合作。