适应气候变化已成为国际气候治理的重要内容。《联合国气候变化框架公约》及《巴黎协定》设立了全球适应目标(GGA),并启动了“格拉斯哥—沙姆沙伊赫全球适应目标工作方案(GGA工作方案)”,旨在通过系统构建适应总体概念和适应行动监测评估系统,加大全球适应行动实施力度、增强适应行动有效性及提高支持力度。然而,全球适应目标谈判进展曲折艰难,这包括政治博弈和技术挑战两方面。本文通过介绍GGA谈判的起源和相关授权,归纳了GGA谈判焦点问题,详细分析了发达国家和发展中国家在不同焦点问题上的立场及潜在原因、驱动因素。同时还分析了全球适应目标未来谈判发展趋势及我国参与全球适应目标谈判的对策与建议,以期为提高我国谈判领域国际话语权提供技术支持。
Adapting to climate change has become one of the important contents of international climate governance. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)and its Paris Agreement set the Global Goal on Adaptation(GGA),and launched the “Glasgow-Sharm el-Sheikh Work Programme,on Global Goal on Adaptation(GGA Work Programme)”,which aims to improve the implementation of global adaptation actions,enhance the effectiveness of adaptation actions and strengthen support through the systematic construction of the overall concept of adaptation and the monitoring and evaluation system of adaptation actions. However,the progress of the negotiation of the GGA is rocky and difficult,including political and technical challenges. By introducing the origin of the negotiation of the GGA and relevant mandates,this paper generalizes some issues on the negotiation of the GGA,including(1)how to set the definition and indicators of the GGA?(2)are elements of the GGA support(in particular financial support)included?(3)how to design the GGA consultation mechanism under the CMA after COP 28?(4)how to strengthen linkage between GGA and GST for promoting their collaboration?and in detail analyzes the positions,potential reasons and driving elements on different focal issues of developed countries and developing countries. At the same time,this paper analyzes the future trend on the negotiation of the GGA and negotiation strategies and suggestions for China,providing technical support for enhancing China’s international discourse power in the negotiation.