叙利亚危机是阿拉伯剧变的一部分。外部力量的介入改变了叙利亚危机的演变轨迹,推动叙利亚危机全面升级,并呈现出国际化、外溢性、多层博弈和代理人战争等特征,进而引发了恐怖主义泛滥、难民问题凸显、安全局势恶化和地缘格局剧烈变动。叙利亚问题经历了“危机爆发和扩大”“转折”“全面恶化”“新转折”等曲折阶段,2015年在各种因素的推动下,叙利亚问题开始向政治解决方向艰难迈进。叙利亚问题政治解决进展缓慢,围绕叙利亚政治过渡、现政权的地位和主权完整等问题,各方矛盾尖锐,内外博弈激烈,政治谈判屡遭挫折,政治解决前景不容乐观。但是,叙利亚危机政治解决的态势仍将持续。
Syrian crisis is part of the Arab Spring. The intervention of foreign power changed the evolution process of Syrian crisis and fully escalated the Syrian Crisis. The crisis has the character of internationalization,spillover,multilayer game and proxy war. The crisis triggered the spread of terrorism,the refugee issue,the deterioration of security situation and violent mobility of geo-strategic structure. The Syrian issue went through crisis outburst and expansion,transition,comprehensive deterioration,and new transition period. In 2015 various factors pushed the Syrian issue to go through new political solution. The political solution of the Syrian Issue is slow. The related parties have intense quarrel and struggle over Syrian political transition,the status of the current regime and the integrity of sovereignty. There were repeated setbacks in the political negotiation. The prospect of political solution is not optimistic. However,the political solution process of the Syrian issue will continue.