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突尼斯政治过渡的完成和启示

文章摘要

2014年,阿拉伯国家的剧变继续发展,唯有突尼斯平稳转型。对所有突尼斯人来说,2014年在国家的重建中具有里程碑意义:突尼斯经历了确立新宪法、选举议会、选举总统三大阶段,顺利结束了过渡期,确立了新的政治体系。本文分析了突尼斯率先走出动荡旋涡的原因,梳理了突尼斯三大政治进程,分析了由此带来的巨大政治转变的意义和启示,最后探讨了新政权的施政纲领以及机遇和挑战。文章认为,尽管突尼斯新政府迎来可喜的形势,但安全、经济与社会领域的问题仍然不少。新政府只有解决好这些问题,才有望使突尼斯恢复经济竞争力,实现社会安定。

Abstract

Many Arab countries have faced drastic changes,only Tunisia has achieved smooth transition. In 2014 Tunisia ended its transition and established a new political system after the landmark political process for 4 years,which includes 3 stages:the establishment of a new constitution,the parliamentary election,the presidential election. The paper explains why Tunisia gets rid of the turmoil first,introduces its political stages and potential changes,analyzes its new administration program and predict the opportunities and challenges.With the new government facing many problems in security,economy and society,it still has something to do in these fields. Under the leadership of the new government,Tunisia is expected to restore its economic competitiveness and achieve social stability.

作者简介
戴晓琦:戴晓琦,阿拉伯语言文学博士,北京第二外国语学院阿拉伯语系副教授、阿拉伯研究中心社会经济室主任。