文章摘要
2011年初,六国与伊朗新一轮的核谈判未果而终。“阿拉伯之春”转移了国际社会对伊朗核问题的关注。西方国家对利比亚的军事干预更加坚定了伊朗掌握核技术的决心。美国指控伊朗政府参与“暗杀门”事件使国际舆论重新聚焦伊朗。IAEA发表有关伊朗试图研制核武器的报告推动伊核问题再次急剧升温。美国及其盟友对伊朗进一步施压以迫使其放弃核计划。面对威胁和制裁,伊朗软硬兼施毫不示弱。各方博弈日益加剧,伊核问题前景令人担忧。
Abstract
In early 2011,the new round of negotiations between Iran and"5+1"countries ended in vain.The political upheavals of the"Arab Spring Wave"have in a way diverted the international attention from the nuclear issue of Iran.The western countries' military interference in Syria gave Iran more determination to attain the nuclear technology.The US condemnation against Iran for having a hand in the attempt to murder the Saudi Arabia's ambassador to the United States refocused the international mass media's attention back to Iran.IAEA's new report on the Iran nuclear issue which hinted that Iran is trying to develop its own nuclear weapons has again made the Iran nuclear issue in mounting tension.The US and Europe are continuously exerting more pressure on Iran to make it give up its nuclear plan.Iran took up a"stick and carrot"policy and showed no signs of weakness in the face of western threats and sanctions.The multi-part game over Iran made the Iran nuclear issue's outlook more grim.
作者简介
陆瑾:中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所副研究员,中国社会科学院海湾研究中心副秘书长,中国中东学会第八届理事会常务理事。主要研究方向为中东国际关系及伊朗问题。先后毕业于北京大学和伊朗德黑兰大学,获波斯语言文学学士、硕士和博士学位。主要成果有专著《利玛窦〈中国纪〉波斯文本研究》(波斯语)和《伊朗——东西方文明的汇合点》(合著),先后在《现代国际关系》《西亚非洲》《阿拉伯世界研究》《世界知识》等期刊发表学术论文数十篇。代表性论文有《伊朗政治温和派的崛起及其影响》《“一带一路”视角下中国与伊朗的经济合作》《历史与现实视域下中伊合作:基于伊朗对“一带一路”认知的解读》《试析鲁哈尼“重振经济”的路径与制约——兼议哈梅内伊的“抵抗型经济政策”》《耐心,让巨龙腾飞——伊朗学者眼中的中国》《鲁哈尼政府外交政策与地区稳定》《当代伊朗公民社会状况探析》等。