突尼斯剧变源于政治极权、贪污腐败和社会压制,全球金融危机也产生了巨大的冲击。权力基础的崩溃,给原政权以最后打击。一年来,突尼斯旧的统治秩序被不断铲除,新的政治秩序逐步建立起来。在原执政党之外,伊斯兰复兴党是最具实力和组织最好的政党,同时具有很强的政治适应性,得以在制宪议会选举中胜出并上台执政。由伊斯兰复兴党主导的新政府和制宪议会,将会继续淡化或改造原来的伊斯兰主义意识形态,推动突尼斯向以政教分离的多元政治方向发展,同时可能采取温和、务实、改革和开放的立场,与外部世界发展互利合作关系。
The significant change taken place in Tunisia in the early beginning of 2011 has resulted from the autocratic rule,corruption and social repression,along with the massive negative influence of the global financial crisis.The collapse of the root of the political power has dealt a fatal blow to the previous regime.Following the eradication of the old governing institution,the new Political order has gradually set up from then on.With the dissolution of the previous ruling party,the Islamic Revival Party is now the most powerful and best organized party,with the high adaptability to politics.Therefore it has won the election of the constituent assembly and stepped in power.The Islamic Revival Party would further transform its Islamist ideology and facilitate the establishment of a more secular and multiple politics in Tunisia. Meanwhile,it would take a more moderate and pragmatic foreign policy and open to outside,developing the relationship of the cooperation for the mutual benefit with world.