文章摘要
京津冀协同发展战略启动近一年,协同发展方向已经确定,但准确目标并不十分清晰。虽然京津冀协同发展各项相关工作都在稳步向前推进,但京津冀协同发展总体规划迟迟没能出台。本文认为,京津冀协同发展总体目标是一个结构性的目标体系,应从协同发展的阶段、层次等视角形成不同时期、不同领域、不同区域目标组成的目标体系。最后,本文对京津冀协同发展的评价标准和方法进行了讨论,提出应将计量模型预测出的合理预期值作为规划与评价的重要参照。
Abstract
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region coordinated development strategy has started a year. Beijing- Tianjin-Hebei collaborative development direction has undoubtedly determine,But the accurate target is not very clear. Although the related work in advance steadily,the overall planning of the development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei collaboration fails to issue. This paper argues that the overall goal of the development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei collab oration is a structural target system. From the collaborative development stage,level perspective Division:in the short-term goal,the long-term goals,the top-level strategic objectives,the field goal,subregional target etc,target components,And finally the organic synthesis for the complete target system. At last,the evaluation standards and methods of collaborative development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei are discussed,Proposed should be reasonably expected measurement model predicted value as an important reference to planning and evaluation.
作者简介
张智:张智,天津社会科学院经济社会预测研究所研究员。