2019年是澳大利亚大选年。执政六年的自由党-国家党联盟以明显优势获得胜利，继续执政。大选结果虽在意料之外，却在情理之中。它既是澳大利亚经济不断下行的结果，也是澳大利亚国内政治在后冷战时期不断右转的产物，同时是美国政治势力与澳大利亚国内势力共同作用的产物。大选结果一方面深刻表明澳大利亚民众关注经济发展和民生改善，关注贫富差距的不断扩大；另一方面它也深刻表明在经济下行之际，澳大利亚国内民粹主义和右翼势力在不断增长。大选结果深刻预示澳大利亚的内政和外交将继续沿着既定的右转轨迹发展，短时间内难以生成逆转所需的巨大变革力量。作为澳大利亚第一大贸易伙伴和亚太地区最具活力的经济体，中国对澳大利亚经济影响力和中澳经济紧密度仍将稳中有升，这是中澳全面战略合作伙伴关系的基础，也是中澳关系不会因政府领导人更迭而轻易改变的基石。
Australia had a general election in 2019，in which the Liberal-National Coalition that had been in power for six years won a clear victory. The outcome is consistent with Australia’s political logic though out of the expectations of some political watchers and analysts. It is the consequence of Australia’s declining economy and its right-shifting domestic politics in the post-Cold War period，as well as the joint influence of the political forces in both America and Australia. The outcome of the election reveals Australians’concern with economic performance，livelihood and the widening gap between the rich and the poor on the one hand，and the rise of populism and right-wingers in Australia during the economic downturn on the other hand. It also indicates that Australia’s domestic and foreign policies will continue to develop along the right-turning trajectory，with a slim chance to generate the huge reforming forces to reverse the trend in the short term. As the largest trading partner of Australia and one of most dynamic economies in the Asia-Pacific，China expands its economic influence in and connection to Australia，which constitutes the basis of China-Australia partnership and the keystone of a relatively stable bilateral relationship.
