绿色低碳发展是实现碳达峰、碳中和的必由之路。本报告测算了京津冀三地绿色全要素生产率与碳生产率，并对京津冀、长三角、珠三角地区进行了测算和对比，结果表明：京津冀三地，北京市绿色低碳发展水平较高，天津市次之，河北省较低；珠三角地区绿色低碳发展水平较高，长三角次之，京津冀较低。基于碳生产率增长对经济增长的贡献率判定地区经济增长方式，“十五”至“十二五”时期，京津冀地区增长方式逐步好转，“十三五”时期经济增长方式为高碳Ⅱ型，并从产业结构、能源结构、技术创新角度分析了京津冀三地绿色低碳发展的动因。
Green low-carbon development is the only way to achieve carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. The green total factor productivity and carbon productivity of Beijing，Tianjin and Hebei are measured separately，and compared with those of Beijing，Tianjin and Hebei，the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta，and the results show that the green low-carbon development of Beijing，Tianjin and Hebei is higher，Tianjin is second and Hebei is lower；the green low-carbon development of the Pearl River Delta is higher，the Yangtze River Delta is second and Beijing，Tianjin and Hebei is lower. The economic growth mode is determined by the contribution rate of carbon productivity growth to economic growth，and the growth mode of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region gradually improved during the period from the Tenth Five-Year Plan to the Twelfth Five-Year Plan. The economic growth mode is high-carbon type II in the 13th Five-Year Plan period. The motives of green and low-carbon development in Beijing，Tianjin and Hebei are analyzed from the perspectives of industrial structure，energy structure and technological innovation respectively.
| Keywords： | Economic Growth ModeBeijingTianjin and HebeiCarbon ProductivityGreen Low-carbon DevelopmentGreen Total Factor Productivity |
