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多米尼加:经济向好,难题依旧

文章摘要

2020年多米尼加大选临近。政治方面,执政党解放党面临内部分裂和外部竞争的双重压力,但若保持党内团结,胜选概率较大。经济方面,多米尼加继续保持良好增长态势,财政状况有所改善,货币政策虽趋紧,但信贷需求仍很旺盛,通胀水平处于合理区间,经常账户赤字却止跌返升。社会方面,得益于经济表现持续向好,劳动力市场状况得到进一步改善,但腐败和犯罪仍是多米尼加面临的两大难题。外交方面,多米尼加与中国正式建交,并签署共建“一带一路”谅解备忘录,此举将为深化经贸合作、吸引在多投资并进一步推进中拉整体合作提供动力。

Abstract

The next presidential,congressional and municipal elections will be held in May 2020. The ruling party(PLD) faces pressure from internal division and external competition. If the PLD retains its unity,it is favoured to win the 2020 elections. The economy continues to perform well including fiscal improvements,strong demand for credit,reasonable inflation level,but the larger current account deficit is marked. On the labour market front,the open unemployment rate benefited from the buoyancy of economic activity. Corruption and crime are the main problems leading several protest movements. China and Dominican Republic have established diplomatic relations on May 1,2018,and signed MOU on November 2,2018. It will provide the motivation for deepening economic and trade cooperation,attracting more investment from China,as well as overall cooperation between China and Latin America.

作者简介
郑猛:郑猛,博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所助理研究员,研究方向为世界经济、发展经济。