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古巴:保持政局平稳,力促经济增长

文章摘要

2018年,米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔·贝穆德斯当选新一届国务委员会主席,古巴政权代际交接进程平稳开启。修宪工作顺利展开,宪法草案修正案完成并于2019年2月进行全民公决。在气候灾害、美国对古政策趋紧、委内瑞拉形势恶化等内外不利因素的影响下,古巴经济增长减速明显。实现进口替代、扩大出口、吸引外资是古巴经济发展的主要目标。非国有经济形式规范化、税制改革仍将逐步推进。古巴政府继续重视社会保障和救助、医疗卫生和教育投入,但物资短缺和收入水平低仍构成社会不稳定因素,人口老龄化问题凸显。古巴与美国的关系趋向紧张;与传统友国的关系稳固深化,与欧盟国家和日本等西方国家的关系平稳推进。

Abstract

In 2018,the intergenerational power handover process began smoothly with the election of Miguel Díaz-Canel Bermúdez as President of the Council of State. The Constitution revision has proceeded smoothly. The amended draft was completed,and a referendum will be held in February 2019. Due to the consequence of climatic disaster,the increasingly rigid policy of the United States,the deteriorating situation in Venezuela and other internal and external factors,the economic growth slowed down markedly. Actually,Cuba’s economic development aims at the importation substitution,the exportation expansion and the foreign investment attraction. The standardization of non-state economy and the reform of taxation system will continue. The Cuban government pays attention to social security and assistance,health and education,but the shortage of commodity and low income level still affect social stability,and the problem of population aging remains preoccupant. The relation with the United States tends to be tense,the relation with the traditional friend countries maintains well and deepens,and the relation with the EU and Japan advances steadily.

作者简介
范蕾:范蕾,国际政治(拉美政治)专业博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所马克思主义理论和政治研究室副研究员,古巴研究中心成员,主要研究领域为拉美社会组织和社会运动。