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拉美地区政治经济社会新变化与中拉合作新趋势

文章摘要

在世界政治、经济、安全领域持续出现重要变化的背景下,2018年以来拉美地区各领域也发生一些新变动。拉美经济增长不稳定和衰退引发一系列消极政治社会后果,增加了政治发展中的不稳定、不确定因素,一些国家政策调整的压力加大;在一些国家,社会不满情绪有所增加,但社会矛盾和冲突基本可控;拉美区域合作出现新变化,一体化发展逐渐形成新的格局。委内瑞拉危机等地区热点问题持续发酵,腐败话题继续搅动拉美政局,对地区政治社会发展及拉美国家间关系产生重要影响。美国加大对拉政策调整力度,试图维护在该地区的霸主地位。中国和拉美国家的合作继续取得新的重大进展,但仍面临不少新问题、新困难和新挑战。对拉美地区发生的新变化应密切跟踪,深入研究,客观认识,准确判断。

Abstract

In the context of the continued changes in the world politics,economy and security,some new changes also have taken place in various fields in Latin America since 2018. The unstable economic growth and recession have produced a series of negative consequences,and increased the political and social instability and uncertainties in the region. Several Latin American countries are facing tremendous pressures from the alternation of ruling parties and the following policy adjustment. Although the anxiety and discontent in the society have increased in several countries,the social conflicts and contradiction is controllable generally in the region. There are some new changes in LAC’s regional cooperation while a new pattern of integration has gradually emerged. Some hot issues such as the Venezuelan crisis and the corruption continue to stir up the political situation in the region and have produced some negative impact. The United States has adjusted its foreign policy towards Latin America in an attempt to maintain its hegemony in the region. China-LAC cooperation continues to make new major progress,but is still facing some adverse conditions during the process of improving bilateral relations and cooperating on “the Belt and Road” initiative. We should pay attention to the new changes and development in Latin America in order to make a correct judgment about Latin American situation and China-LAC cooperation.

作者简介
袁东振:袁东振,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所研究员、副所长、博士生导师。