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安哥拉政治经济在改革中艰难前行

文章摘要

2017年,安哥拉实现权力交接,洛伦索当选总统。面对安哥拉严重的腐败以及严峻的经济形势,洛伦索实施了一系列改革举措。政治上,对内打击腐败、整顿政府机构、改善营商环境,对外加大开放力度、开展积极外交,寻求多方支持。经济上,放弃固定汇率制度,启动“宏观经济稳定计划”和“2018~2022年国家发展计划”,以期推动安哥拉走出衰退困局。从实际效果看,安哥拉经济呈现复苏态势,通货膨胀有所缓和,债务水平处于高位但仍在可控范围。目前安哥拉正处于矛盾问题较为突出,但形势在局部缓和、好转的过渡期,未来一到两年或将成为安哥拉国家发展的关键节点。

Abstract

In 2017,power transition took place in Angola and João Lourenço was elected as president. Faced with rampant corruption and severe economic hardships in Angola,Lourenço launched a new round of reform. In terms of politics,internally,Lourenço cracked down on corruption,rectified government institutions and improved the business environment;externally,he increased the extent of openness of the country,carried out proactive diplomatic strategies and sought support from various parties. In terms of the economy,he abandoned the fixed exchange regime and initiated the macroeconomic stabilization plan and the national development plan for the period of 2018-2022 as efforts to push Angola out of the recession. These measures have managed to achieve effects judged from the recovery tendency of the Angolan economy,the tamed inflation,and a debt level that is high but controllable. Currently,Angola is in a transition phase where conflicts and problems are still pronounced but the situation is partially moderating and improving. The following one or two years may become a critical turning point of Angola’s national development.

作者简介
郝睿:郝睿,经济学博士,中非发展基金研究发展部总经理。
沈子奕:沈子奕,金融学硕士,中非发展基金研究发展部主管。