2018年7月25日,金砖国家第十次领导人会晤在南非约翰内斯堡举行。受邀参会的土耳其总统在峰会期间明确表达了土耳其欲加入金砖国家的立场。土耳其寻求加入“金砖国家”有其在脱亚入欧(西方)过程中遇阻带来的外部推力和“金砖国家”对土耳其的吸引力两方面因素。通过在立场一致性、地区代表性、扩员必要性和准入程序性四个方面与南非“入会”过程进行比较分析,并结合目前土耳其和金砖机制面临的内外形势,可以发现在能否加入“金砖国家”这一问题上,存在金砖机制目前有扩员的必要、土耳其与金砖机制五个成员国关系均较为稳定等优势条件,但同时土耳其也面临诸如“金砖国家”并不想成为反西方联盟,近期土耳其爆发货币危机以及土耳其国内在加入“金砖国家”问题上存在意见分歧等障碍。
On July 25,2018,the Tenth BRICS Summit was held in Johannesburg,South Africa.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan,who was invited to participate in the meeting,clearly expressed his desire to join the ‘BRICS regime’ during that summit.There were two kinds of factors leading Turkey to express its interesting in joining the BRICS:the pushing factor was the denial of its integration into Europe by the Western countries,the pulling factor was the attraction of the BRICS to Turkey.Through analyzing the process of South Africa joining BRICS in terms of positional consistency,regional representation,expansion necessity and access procedurally,combined with the current internal and external situations faced by Turkey and the BRICS regime,this paper argues that with regards to possibility of Turkey' s joining BRICS,there have been some favorable conditions for Turkey to join BRICS,for example the BRICS currently has the necessity for expansion,and the relations between Turkey and the BRICS members are relatively stable,etc.At the same time,there are some challenges for Turkey to realize its desire,such as BRICS countries don’t want this regime to become an anti-Western alliance,the recent currency crisis in Turkey and the dissent voices within Turkey on the issue of joining the ‘BRICS regime’,and so on.