经过2016年的调整,俄罗斯经济衰退速度得到了控制。2017年以来,俄罗斯进入经济社会发展的最关键时期。经济增长能否上去关系到普京执政基础是否稳固,关乎普京的历史地位。2018年俄罗斯经济增长总体处于低速增长态势,当前尽管油价上涨,但也无法阻止俄经济增速放缓的趋势。显然,俄当前的宏观经济增长各项指标与普京实现改善民生和强国战略的宏伟目标相差甚远。不仅如此,俄罗斯社会发展指标喜忧参半,就业、医疗、教育均出现一定程度改善,但人口问题依然严峻。在当前欧美国家制裁的背景下,俄对南南合作更加重视,试图得到发展中国家尽可能多的支持。
After the adjustment in 2016,Russia’s economic recession has been controlled. Since 2017,Russia has entered the most critical period of economic and social development. Whether economic growth can increase is related to whether Putin’s ruling foundation is solid or not,and to Putin’s historical position. Obviously,The indicators of current macroeconomic growth are far from Putin’s grand goal of improving the people’s livelihood and the strategy of strengthening the country. What’s more,Russia’s social development indicators are mixed,the employment,health care,education have a certain degree of development,but the population problem is still serious. Even in the case of limited national strength in recent years,Russia has paid more attention to South-South cooperation and tries to get support from developing countries through foreign trade contacts,military technical cooperation,foreign aid,and strengthening the construction of regional cooperation organizations with South-South countries.