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供给侧背景下上海房地产发展的分析与思考

文章摘要

上海房地产业发展面临国家、城市与市场三大“新”机遇:国家经济发展进入新常态,供给侧结构性改革成为解决深层次矛盾的重大战略部署;城市进入深度转型新时期,追求卓越建设;市场进入“房住不炒”新时代,规模与存量和谐共振。在此背景下,长效机制构建成为当前工作重点。基于长效机制构建的现实基础,本研究从优化供应结构、保障要素供给两个层面,提出政策建议:①推动租售并举,提升住房供给效能;②创新制度激励,丰富住房供给主体;③建立土地规划动态机制,提高单位产出效率;④发展政策性住房金融,鼓励住房金融产品创新;⑤深化户籍制度改革,均衡基础教育资源配置。

Abstract

The development of Shanghai real estate industry faces three “new” opportunities in the country,the city and the market:the national economic development enters the new normal,the supply-side structural reform becomes the major strategic deployment to solve the deep contradiction;the city enters the new period of deep transformation,pursues the excellence construction;the market enters a new era which is “houses is used to live in,not to is used for speculation”,the scale and stock are harmoniously resonant. In this context,the establishing of long-term mechanism has become the focus of the current work. Based on the reality of long-term mechanism establishing,this study puts forward policy suggestions from two levels such as optimizing supply structure and safeguarding factor supply:that are(1)Promote the combination of rental and sale,improve the efficiency of housing supply,(2)Innovation system incentives,enrich the main body of housing supply;(3)Establish a dynamic mechanism of land planning to improve unit output efficiency;(4)Develop policy housing finance to encourage innovation in housing finance products;(5)Deepen the reform of household registration system and balance the allocation of the basic education resources.

作者简介
姚玲珍:姚玲珍,经济学博士,上海财经大学教授,主要研究方向为房地产经济理论与政策、住房保障。
张雅淋:张雅淋,上海财经大学博士研究生,主要研究方向为房地产经济、房地产金融。