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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

印尼经济社会发展形势总报告(2017~2018)

文章摘要

本文从宏观经济、工商产业、社会人文以及国际关系方面对印尼2017~2018年上半年的发展成就和面临的挑战进行了系统分析。总体来说,印尼经济取得了持续增长、基础设施改善、居民就业和收入趋稳、政府经济职能强化等成就,但也面临货币走弱、经常账户赤字扩大、引资难度增加和宏观经济下行等重大挑战。在工商领域,“印尼制造4.0”计划、重振油气投资、大力提升物流效率成为热点。社会人文领域,教育投入加大、反腐纵深发展、减贫成效显著等是主要成就,但仍然面临教育质量不高、缺乏长效脱贫机制、反腐阻力增大、伊斯兰政治化倾向增强等主要挑战。国际经贸关系方面,与欧美的贸易摩擦增加,与中国经贸关系更趋密切,在缓解棕榈油出口危机的努力中得到中国协助,中国内地和香港合计成为第二大FDI来源地,同时印尼也在积极拓展中南亚和非洲市场。国际政治上,第四次当选安理会非常任理事国、与美国密切军事合作、与印度加强海事合作等都是佐科政府追求成为区域大国和海洋强国的策略行动,而中印尼关系仍是在实用主义导向下深化。

Abstract

This report systematically analyzes Indonesia’s development achievements and challenges from 2017 to the first half of 2018,from the aspects of macro-economy,business and industry,social humanities and international relations. Overall,Indonesia’s economy has made achievement in continued growth,improved infrastructure,stable employment and income growth,and enhanced government economic functions. However,it also faces major challenges such as weakening currencies,widening current account deficits,increasing difficulties in attracting investments and downward pressure on the economy. In the industrial and commercial sector,the “Making Indonesia 4.0” plan,the revitalization of oil and gas industry,and vigorously improve logistics efficiency have come into the spotlight. In the field of social humanities,the major achievements are the deepening of anti-corruption,the increase of education investment,and the alleviation of poverty. But there are still some main challenges,such as low education quality,the lack of long-term mechanism for poverty alleviation,increasing resistance to anti-corruption and increasingly politicizing tendency of Islamic power. In the international economic and trade relations,trade frictions with Europe and the United States have increased,and its economic and trade relations with China have become closer,as is seen when Indonesian government’s commitment to ease the crisis of palm oil export was helped by China. The mainland China and Hong Kong together have become the second largest source of FDI,and Indonesia is also actively expanding its markets in South and Central Asia and Africa. In the international political area,Indonesia’s efforts to be elected as non-permanent members of the Security Council for the fourth time,to maintain close military cooperation with the United States and maritime cooperation with India,could be seen as the strategic actions of Joko’s pursuit of becoming a regional and marine power. The Sino-Indonesian relations on the contrary,continue to strengthen driven by pragmatism.

作者简介
左志刚:左志刚,博士,广东外语外贸大学教授,印尼研究中心研究员。