《减税与就业法案》是美国近30年来最大的商业税制改革。新税法贯彻美国优先原则,以增强美国商业税制的全球竞争力为核心目标。围绕这一目标,新税法大幅下调了企业所得税率,调降了个人所得税边际税率,并设计了有利于利润回流和资本流入的涉外税收规则。从经济影响看,税改对美国经济有短期促进作用,但长期拉动作用不明显。一方面政府财政赤字增大和债务占GDP比的提高可能使减税有所反复;另一方面中美贸易冲突也可能抵消减税对经济的长期贡献作用。外溢效应上,新税法的实施加剧了包括中国在内的新兴市场国家的资本外流压力。中国应以积极的姿态应对美国税改对中国经济的潜在冲击,包括对外积极使用多边规则保障进出口企业利益,并积极参与新规则的谈判和制定。对内继续改革完善国内的税收制度,建立更科学、简明和公平的税收体系。
The Cuts and Job Act (TCJA)is the largest commercial tax reform in the United States during the past 30 years. The new tax law implements the US priority principle and aims to enhance the global competitiveness of the US commercial tax system. To achieve this goal,the new tax law has significantly lowered the corporate income tax rate,lowered the personal income tax marginal rate,and designed foreign-related tax rules that are conducive to profit return and capital inflows. The tax reform will have a short-term promotion effect on the US economy,but whether it will promote the economic growth in the long run remains unclear especially considering the increasing burden of government’s fiscal deficit,and the significant rise of expected debt-to-GDP ratio. The implementation of the new tax law has intensified the pressure of capital outflows of emerging market countries including China. China should respond positively to the potential impact of US tax reform that imposed on the Chinese economy. The measures include applying multilateral rules to protect the interests of import and export enterprises,participating in the negotiation and formulation of new rules,(Overseas investment is also not taxed);as well as continuing to reform and improve the domestic tax system to establish a more scientific,concise and fair tax system.