2017年拉美地区经济有望结束连续两年的衰退,增长率预计为0.9%。从内部来看,投资和消费出现好转迹象,国内需求逐步回升;从外部来看,全球经济增长加快有利于改善拉美地区外部需求,国际大宗商品价格的回升也将带动拉美地区的对外出口。不过,部分国家依然面临通货膨胀高企、就业恶化等挑战。美国贸易政策的保护主义倾向给美国与拉美地区经贸关系带来冲击,增加了拉美地区经济复苏的不确定性,这迫切需要拉美国家通过深化区域经济一体化与促进出口市场多元化进行应对。
Latin American economic growth is expected to be 0.9% in 2017,ending the two consecutive years of negative growth. From the internal point of view,investment and consumption showed signs of revival,domestic demand gradually recovered;from the external point of view,the accelerated global economic growth will improve the external demand in Latin America,and the rise in commodity prices will also boost the exports of Latin America. However,some countries are still facing high inflation,employment deterioration and other challenges. Rising protectionist in the U.S. may harm the economic and trade relations between the United States and Latin America,increasing the uncertainty of economic recovery in Latin America,which urgently requires Latin American countries to respond through deepening regional integration and promoting diversification of export market.