传统上,以色列和沙特是两个相互敌对的中东国家,然而新世纪以来两国关系却发生了显著改变,从世纪初的秘密接触合作转变为当前的公开互动合作。近年来,伊朗核问题和中东剧变的后续影响促使以色列和沙特形成了某种事实上对抗伊朗的利益同盟,两国关系在盟友美国的拉拢撮合下不断改善升温。作为地区颇具影响力的国家,以沙关系改善不仅波及双边层面,也会深刻地影响中东的地缘格局,因而必将面临诸多挑战,这包括巴勒斯坦问题、穆斯林普遍的仇以情绪、美国优先主义带来的政策不确定性及沙特自身稳定等一系列障碍。整体而言,两国关系改善迹象明显,未来仍有较大发展空间,但要面临的困难远大于所取得的成果。两国可以继续加强安全领域的合作关系,但短期内推动双边关系正常化,不具现实性。
Historically speaking,Israel and Saudi were two hostile countries who saw each other as ememies. Nevertheless,there have been remarkable changes in Saudi-Israel relations since the beginning of the 21th century,evolving from secret contacts and cooperations in particular areas to frequent bilateral interactions and public cooperations in recent years. Their relationship has also been transformed from traditional enemies to some kind of “allies”. In recent years,Iranian nuclear issue and the aftermath of upheavals in the Middle East have accelerated the formation of de facto anti-Iran alliance in which Israel and Saudi share common interests. Saudi-Israel relations are thus improved step by step with the help of their common ally,the United States. As two influential countries in the Middle East,the change of Saudi-Israel relations not only has repercussions on the bilateral level but also affects the geopolitical situation in the whole area. However,there are still obstacles on the road to normalization of Saudi-Israel relations,such as the Palestine issue,the universal anti-Israel feelings among Muslims,and the uncertainty of US policy in the Middle East and the domestic stability of Saudi Arabia. Generally speaking,there are clear signs that Saudi-Israel relations will get better and better. Moreover,there are motivations and conditions for further improvement of Saudi-Israel relations. Nevertheless,difficulties lying ahead surpass achievements that have already been made. Israel and Saudi Arabia could strenghthen their alliance in the security area while neither of them will promote the normalization of their bilateral relations in a short period.