西奈半岛恶劣的自然环境和准非军事化状态带来的管制虚弱、秩序混乱为恐怖主义滋生提供了合适的土壤。后穆巴拉克时期埃及政府对西奈控制力的急剧下降和政府的反恐不力、治理不善是“阿拉伯之春”后西奈半岛恐怖主义泛滥的关键内因。“伊斯兰国”和“基地组织”的扩展和美国中东反恐战略的不良后果是西奈恐怖主义趁机坐大的外部促因。西奈半岛恐怖主义的泛滥直接威胁以色列安全与社会稳定,冲击埃以和平,使巴以问题以及周边安全局势复杂化。对此,以色列采取了一系列的反恐措施,包括主动开展反恐行动、强化西南边境防御治理,加强与埃及安全合作的同时寻求其他阿拉伯国家的支持,进一步重视与西方盟国的反恐合作,务实调整地区外交政策。但是即便如此,西奈半岛的恐怖主义势力依然猖獗,在相当长的一段时间内将继续威胁着以色列的安全。因此,通过与阿拉伯国家的合作实现共同安全,才是以色列反恐路径选择的有益尝试。
The flourishing of terrorism in the Sinai Peninsula after the Arab Spring was caused by many reasons. Rigorous natural environment of Sinai,weak control and management brought by the quasi-demilitarized state and lack of order provided a suitable soil for the growth of terrorism. The sharp decline of Egyptian government’s control of Sinai after Mubarak stepped down from power,the impotence of government in counter-terrorist activities and poor management were key reasons for the rise of terrorism in Sinai. Besides,the expansion of ISIS and Al-Qaeda as well as the negative effects of the United States’ counter-terrorism strategy were regarded as the external elements for the development of Sinai terrorism. The flourishing of Sinai terrorism posed a direct threat to Israel’s security and social stability. It undermined the peace treaty between Israel and Egypt,and made the Israeli-Palestinian issue as well as the security situation in surrounding countries more and more complicated. In response,Israel took a series of counter-terrorist measures,such as fortifying Israel’s defense system in its southwestern borders,strengthening security cooperation with Egypt whilst seeking supports from other Arab countries;further deepening counter-terrorism cooperation with its Western allies and adjusting Israel’s foreign policy in the Middle East. Nevertheless,terrorism in Sinai is still out of control and will in a long run remain a threat to Israel’s security. In consequence,pursuing common security through cooperating with Arab countries will be Israel’s new counter-terrorism approach choice.