2017年,阿拉伯国家仍处于2011年剧变后的转型期。海合会联盟体系遭遇挫折,内部政治、经济和意识形态矛盾公开化。反恐取得突破性胜利,“伊斯兰国” 武装已被击败。局部来看,伊拉克库尔德自治区独立公投加剧了区域不稳定,中东国家面临民族解构的现实威胁。从外部看,美国总统特朗普的中东政策引发地区力量重新洗牌,加剧了域内国家间的对抗。
In 2017, the Arab countries were still in the transition period after the upheaval of 2011. The GCC alliance system suffered setbacks, their internal political, economic and ideological contradictions are out to the open. The counter-terrorism activity gain a breakthrough.Partly, the referendum on the independence of the Iraqi Kurdish autonomous region has exacerbated regional instability and the Middle East countries face a real threat of national deconstruction. From the outside, U.S. President Trump's Middle East policy triggered a reshuffle of regional forces, exacerbating the rivalry between the countries in the region.