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非洲安全形势仍将面临多重挑战

文章摘要

21世纪以来非洲政治形势的总体走势趋于稳定,但一直存在较为严重的安全问题,政权更迭频繁,局部军事冲突继续肆虐,恐怖活动呈分散化,治安威胁突出。非洲安全形势的变化,体现出近10年来全球经济形势多变、地缘政治斗争、社会思潮兴起等新要素的冲击。可以预计,非洲未来几年的整体安全形势不会有大的改观,甚至有恶化的可能。非洲政治危机、战争风险、恐怖主义袭击、治安风险等因素叠加,中国企业面临的投资和运营风险也空前严峻。为应对挑战,中国需要结合“一带一路”倡议,开创对非合作的新模式,帮助非洲提升安全治理的能力。

Abstract

Although the general trend of the political situation in Africa has stabilized in the new century,African countries have always faced relatively serious security problems. Changes in the regime have caused social turmoil,military conflicts continue to raging,and terrorist activities have spread around. The threat of public security is widespread in all countries. The series of changes in the security situation are the result of new factors such as the global economic crisis,geopolitical struggle and social ideological innovation over the past 10 years. The overall security situation in Africa in the next few years will not be greatly improved or even worsened. Due to the complex and volatile security situation in Africa,the investment risks faced by Chinese companies in Africa are unprecedentedly severe. Investment security incidents have increased in recent years. In order to response to the security challenges,China-Africa cooperation needs to combine the“ Belt and Road”initiative and create a new cooperation model. China needs to help Africa improve its ability to manage security.

作者简介
王洪一:王洪一,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所副研究员。