本文第一部分从国际市场占有率、贸易竞争力指数、显示性比较优势指数三个指标对中等偏下收入国家群体的产业竞争力进行分析,发现在2000~2016年期间该群体具有竞争力优势的产业结构发生较大变化,且变化趋势并未形成统一规律。第二部分选取与中国贸易量最大的前五个中等偏下收入国家(印度、印度尼西亚、巴基斯坦、菲律宾、越南),同样使用三个指标比较六国的产业竞争力,从国际市场占有率分析可得典型中等偏下收入国家的制造业产品竞争力与中国的差距还是相当大的,短时间内没有超越的可能性;从贸易竞争力指数角度进行比较可得中国产品的竞争力优势相对明显,竞争实力更强,但差距并没有像国际市场占有率那么大;从显示性比较优势指数角度可得,中国排名靠前的产品在与典型中等偏下收入国家的比较中略占下风,并不存在国际市场占有率、贸易竞争力指数反映出的那样显著的竞争力优势。第三和第四部分从典型中等偏下收入国家与中、美的贸易关系现状视角出发,提出了中国未来进一步协调与中等偏下收入国家经贸关系的建议。
The first part of the article analyzes the three indicators of international market share,trade competitiveness index,revealed comparative advantage,and finds that the product structure of the industrial competitiveness of lower middle income countries has changed totally from 2000 to 2016,and as for the trend of change,there is no uniform law in the pluralization;The second part selects the top five lower-middle-income countries(India,Indonesia,Pakistan,the Philippines,and Vietnam)with the largest volume of trade with China,and uses three indicators to compare the industrial competitiveness of the six countries. From the analysis of international market share indicators,the gap between China’s manufacturing product competitiveness in typical middle-lower income countries is still quite large,and there is no possibility of surpassing it in a short period of time;it can be compared from the perspective of trade competitiveness index indicators. The competitive advantage of China’s products is still relatively obvious,and the competitive strength is relatively stronger,but there is no big difference between the two in terms of international market share;from the perspective of revealed comparative advantages,China can be found lightly disadvantaged in comparison with typical lower income countries,there does not exist such as the international market share and trade competitiveness index reflect the same obvious competitive advantage. Sections 3 and 4 describe from the perspective of the status quo of the trade relations between the typical lower middle income countries and China and the United States,and set forth China’s future further coordination with lower middle income countries in national economics and trade relations.