本报告从地缘经济视角出发，主要探讨三个问题：一是通过比较印太与亚太的经济发展动态，分析两区域的经济互动关系，从而对“世界经济中心转移”和“平衡中国地缘影响力”两个缘起论进行再探讨；二是通过分析印太地缘经济格局的阶段性变化，比较“印太”战略合作方（美日澳印）及其平衡对象（中国）对地区经济的影响力及贡献度，为“印太”战略遏制中国可能损害地区经济发展提供证据；三是比较分析中美日澳印五国在印太地区的经济投入度，借此解释各国对“印太”战略的态度差异，并就加强印太地区地缘经济合作提出一些思考。主要结论有：一是世界经济中心没有明显的转移趋势，但亚太对印太依赖度的增加提升了印太地缘重要性；二是“印太”的缘起并不只因为地缘经济本身，还因为地缘经济成功带动的中国发展模式传播对美日澳印造成的现实性或感知性的威胁；三是中国多年前已经完成赶超并成为该地区经济合作的主导力量和守成者，美日澳印才是地缘经济格局现行秩序的挑战者；四是印太地区对中日澳印四国的地缘经济重要性大于该地区对美国的重要性；五是如果“印太”战略遏制中国势必造成地缘政治和地缘经济撕裂，进而损害该地区的经济增长和区域融合；六是中国应关注“印太”战略走向，与各国在利益汇合点上求同存异化解不利因素。与此同时，还应继续推动更加开放包容的地缘经济合作模式。
This paper starts from geo-economy，study 3 issues：1. Compare “Indo-Pacific” and Asia-Pacific economic development dynamics，to analyze the two regions’ economic interaction relationship，thus to discuss again on the origins of “the world economic center transformation” and “balance China’s geographic influential power”. 2. Through the analysis on “Indo-Pacific” geo-economics’ pattern stage changing，compare “Indo-Pacific” cooperation partners（the US，Japan，Australia，India）and its rebalance aim（China），to analyze its influence on regional economy and its contribution，thus to provide proofs convincing that the limits on China of “Indo-Pacific” strategy may harm regional economic development. 3. Compare China，the US，Japan，Australia，India，all five countries’ economic investments in “India-Pacific”，thus to explain countries’ differential attitudes on “India-Pacific” strategy，and provide some thinking on the region’s geo-economics cooperation. Main Conclusions are：1. The world economic center is lack of evident transforming trends，but the fiercer dependence of “Asia-Pacific” on “Indo-Pacific” will increase the geographic importance of “Indo-Pacific”. 2. The origin of “Indo-Pacific” in not only due to geo-economics itself，but due to geo-economics successfully bring Chinese development mode’s propaganda and bring practical or perceptible threats to the US，Japan，Australia，and India. 3. China has achieved catching-up several years ago and has become the core leader and guarder of regional economic cooperation，while the US，Japan，Australia，and India，are the threats to the geo-economics pattern and order. 4. “Indo-Pacific” is more important on the geo-economics to China，Japan，Australia，and India than to the US. 5. If “Indo-Pacific” strategy limits China，it will definitely cause the tear of geopolitics and geo-economics，then harm regional economic growth and regional fusion. 6. China should focus on “Indo-Pacific” strategic trend，when concerning profits confluence，seek common points while reserving difference and defuse unfavorable factors. At the same time，continue to push more open and comprehensive geo-economics cooperation modes.
