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危地马拉:总统面临执政危机

文章摘要

2017年,危地马拉总统吉米·莫拉莱斯因腐败丑闻以及驱逐联合国反腐败官员而遭遇执政危机。受执政危机影响,危地马拉全年经济增速放缓,财政收入下降,私人投资信心受损。连续两年的财政紧缩政策初见成效,但财政空间仍然有限。通货膨胀率始终在目标区间内,货币政策存在一定空间。执政危机触发了多场游行示威,民众对政府不满情绪扩散,社会不稳定程度上升。驱逐联合国官员还造成危地马拉的国际声誉受损。危地马拉积极拓展与中国的经贸关系成为2017年危地马拉对外关系领域的亮点。

Abstract

In 2017,the president of Guatemala,Jimmy Morales,suffered a crisis in power for corruption scandals and the expulsion of United Nations anti-corruption official. Under the influence of the crisis,the economic growth of Guatemala slowed last year,the fiscal revenue declined,and the confidence of private investment was damaged. The fiscal tightening policy was successful for two years consecutively,but the financial space was still limited. The rate of inflation was always within the target range,and there was a certain space for monetary policy. The crisis triggered a number of demonstrations,the public’s dissatisfaction with the government spread and social instability increased. The expulsion of United Nations official also damaged the international reputation of Guatemala. Guatemala actively expanded its economic and trade relations with China,which was a highlight in the field of foreign relations in the year of 2017.

作者简介
王飞:王飞,经济学博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所经济研究室助理研究员,主要研究方向为拉美经济。