2017～2018年拉美地区政局基本稳定，政府换届均在宪法框架内进行，但委内瑞拉等国家政局的不稳定和紧张状态继续。洪都拉斯大选的合法性遭到严重质疑，发生了严重的政治冲突。公众对传统政党和老面孔的政治领导人的幻想进一步破灭，具体表现在当前几个大国领导人超低的支持率上。在传统政党陷入颓势、政治领导人被贪腐案缠身的背景下举行大选，势必给反建制派或“政治局外人”的兴起创造新的机会。此外，2018年的拉美国家大选将在公众的愤怒声中举行，蔓延整个地区的腐败案将给大选年带来不确定性。
In 2017-2018，the political situation in the region is basically stable and the transition of the government is within the framework of the law，but instability and tension have continued in Venezuela and other countries. The legitimacy of the general election in Honduras has been seriously questioned and serious political clashes have taken place. The public’s illusions about the leaders of the traditional political parties have been further dashed，as reflected in the ultra-low support ratings of the current leaders of several major countries. The holding of general elections in the context of weak traditional political parties and the corruption of political leaders is bound to create new opportunities for the rise of rebels or “political laymen”. In addition，the 2018 elections in Latin America will be held in the fury of public discontent，and corruption cases across the region will bring uncertainties to the election year.
