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2017年俄罗斯政坛反对派现状简析

文章摘要

在俄罗斯现政权对社会控制力度不断增强的背景下,体制内反对派的动能日趋衰弱,越来越难以聚合成合法框架下的有效制衡力量;社会对政权的不满情绪与反抗越来越多地通过体制外的渠道来表达,但体制外反对派面对的是政权以法律与法规扎起的制度藩篱以及愈益严密的管控手段;至少在短期内,形成有抗衡能力的政治势力的可能性不大。

Abstract

Due to the strengthening social control of Russia regime,the energy of the opposition within the system is increasingly debilitated and it has become more difficult for them to synthesize the effective counterweights under the legal framework. With the growing dissatisfaction about the regime,the opposition forces begin to reach out through channels outside the system. However,the opposition outside the system is faced with strong institutional barriers and increasingly stringent control measures imposed by laws and regulations. Therefore,at least in the short term,it is unlikely to form a political force with ability to counterbalance the current regime in Russia.

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作者简介
郝赫:郝赫,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所俄罗斯政治社会文化研究室副研究员,博士。