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试析安倍内阁自贸区政策的战略意图及对中日关系的影响——以从TPP到C...

文章摘要

安倍内阁意欲借自贸区协定与美欧共同擘画世界经贸新秩序,强化规则建构在区域经济一体化过程中的重要性,以巩固其在区域乃至全球价值链中的地位。因此,日本虽然同时参与了“跨太平洋伙伴关系协定”(TPP)和“区域全面经济伙伴关系协定”(RCEP)谈判,却未对RCEP给予足够关注,而将重心全部放在TPP谈判上,并一直扮演着向RCEP输出规则的桥梁角色,牵引RCEP实现“TPP化”。以此为背景,即使在美国退出TPP后,安倍内阁仍竭力推动其余国家重开谈判,最终主导了“全面且先进的跨太平洋伙伴关系协定”(CPTPP)的成行。而CPTPP签署框架协定和日欧“经济伙伴关系协定”(EPA)的缔结又为安倍内阁在RCEP谈判上坚持“求质不求速”的既定立场增添了底气,这在客观上势必加剧RCEP的内部分歧和谈判难度,也使中日在区域经济一体化过程中的博弈日趋激烈。

Abstract

The Abe cabinet intends to use the FTA agreement to work with the United States and Europe to draw a new world economic and trade orders,strengthening the importance of rule construction in the process of regional economic integration in order,to consolidate its position in the regional and global value chain. Therefore,although Japan has participated in the negotiations of the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement(TPP)and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement(RCEP),it has not paid enough attention to the RCEP,which has focused entirely on the TPP negotiations,and has been acting as a bridge to export rules to RCEP,pulling RCEP to achieve TPP. Under this background,even after the United States announced its withdrawal from TPP,Abe’s cabinet still tried to push the rest of the countries to resume negotiations and eventually dominated the “Comprehensive Progress of the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement”(CPTPP). The signing of the CPTPP framework agreement and the conclusion of the Japan-EU Economic Partnership Agreement(EPA)have also given a stronger confidence for Abe’s cabinet to adhere to the established position of “pursuing quality without speed” in the RCEP negotiations. This objective will inevitably aggravate the internal disagreement and negotiation difficulty of RCEP,and also make the game between China and Japan increasingly fierce in the process of regional economic integration.

作者简介
蔡亮:蔡亮,法学博士,上海国际问题研究院外交政策研究所、亚太研究中心副研究员,全国日本经济学会理事,主要研究领域:中日关系、外交战略、日本政经战略。