日本对华直接投资对中国的经济发展起到重要的推动作用。日本对华直接投资可划分为全面启动、合作深化、调整转型三个时期,具有以制造业为主、集中于东部沿海地区等特点。通过国际经济学理论分析,运用回归与ARMA组合模型、格兰杰因果关系检验等实证分析方法,笔者认为日本对华直接投资对中国经济的主要作用有:促进中国产业升级转型、推动中日贸易发展、产生技术溢出效应。中国应利用自身市场的魅力,完善法律制度,吸引日本对华直接投资,助力中国经济结构转型。
Japanese direct investment in China had taken an important role in promoting Chinese economy development. The development of Japanese direct investment to China can be divided into three:stages the stage of overall starting,the stage of deepening cooperation and the stage of restructuring and transformation. Japanese direct investment in China focuses on manufacturing industries mainly in China’s eastern coastal areas. Through the analysis of international economy theory,using the empirical method of that ARMA model and Granger causality test,the article Japanese direct investment in China has the following economic effects on Chinese economy. Firstly,it promotes Chinese industrial upgrading. Secondly,it pushes the development of Sino-Japanese trade. Thirdly,it generates a technology spillover effect in China. China should use the advantage of its tremendous scale of market and improve its legal system to attract Japanese direct investment,which will contribute to the economic restructuring of China.
Keywords: | Economic RestructuringSino-Japanese TradeJapanese Direct Investment To ChinaIndustrial Upgrading and TransformationTechnology Spillover Effect |