2017年，世界经济复苏势头超预期，中国经济也表现不俗，投资和消费表现平稳，出口出现明显回升，全年经济增速达到了6.9%。从三次产业对经济增长的拉动率看，2017年，第一、二产业增长较为平稳，拉动力主要来自于第三产业。党的十九大定调中国经济由高速增长转向高质量发展，预示着决策层对经济增速不再纠结，经济工作的重点将转向结构调整和提升质量。2018年，世界经济将继续保持较好复苏态势，受投资增速放缓以及出口拉动边际效益递降的影响，中国经济增速可能将不及上年，但是发展的质量将进一步提升。2018年投资应该紧跟政策的取向，关注“一带一路”、雄安新区、长江经济带和粤港澳大湾区等的规划和落实，关注高端制造、生态环保、消费升级等行业。
In 2017，the recovery of the world economy was over expected.China's economic performance is not vulgar，investment and consumption performance is stable，and exports have risen sharply.The annual economic growth of China's GDP reached 6.9%.The growth rate of the three industry to economic growth shows that the growth of the first and the second industry are stable.The driving force of economic growth mainly comes from the third industry.The nineteen main party of the party put forward that China's economy has shifted from high speed to high quality development.This indicates that the decision-making level is no longer entangled in economic growth.The focus of China's economic work will turn to structural adjustment and improve the quality.In 2018，the world economy will continue to maintain a better recovery.Affected by the slowdown in investment and exports affect the marginal benefit descending，China economic growth may be less than the previous year，but the quality of the development will further enhance.In 2018，investment should follow the policy orientation.Investors need to pay attention to Belt and Road Initiative，Xiongan district and Guangdong Bay area planning，focus on high-end manufacturing，environmental protection，consumption upgrade and other industries.
| Keywords： | Macro EconomyChinaEconomy Policy |
