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伊朗国内恐怖主义形势及对“一带一路”安全环境的影响

文章摘要

伊朗是中东地区的大国和强国,同时伊朗也是“一带一路”上的“节点”国家,伊朗在“一带一路”中的参与程度对“一带一路”的成功建设起举足轻重的作用。伊朗国内的恐怖主义形势有日益严峻的趋势,这无疑会影响伊朗国内的政治、经济稳定,进而会影响“一带一路”倡议在伊朗的实施。鲁哈尼总统上台及伊核协议达成后,伊朗国际、国内环境变得相对宽松,伊朗在政治和经济上的选择也变得多样化,但考虑到中国和伊朗间的传统友好关系,以及伊朗和西方国家在意识形态等方面根深蒂固的矛盾,伊朗在打击国内恐怖主义方面要加强同中国的合作。

Abstract

Being a big and powerful state in the Middle East,Iran is a pivotal country in BRI. This means that the participation of Iran in the BRI is essential to the unfolding of the BRI. The terrorist situation in Iran is showing signs of becoming more and more tense,which will definitely have negative impact on the political and economic stability of Iran and further undermine the unfolding of BRI in the country and beyond. With the nuclear deal reach by President Ruhani,the international and domestic situation of Iran are becoming less tense,with its options in both politics and economy being more diversified. Considering the traditional good relations between China and Iran and the deep-rooted ideological conflicts between Iran and Western countries,it is advisable that Iran strengthens its cooperation with China in combating terrorism.

作者简介
张金平:张金平,西北政法大学反恐怖主义研究院院长、教授、博士生导师。主要研究方向为国际恐怖活动与反恐怖策略、中东社会。