金砖国家是引领发展中国家科技创新的主要群体，也是世界科技创新的一支重要力量。本报告在前期研究基础上，测算了金砖国家综合创新竞争力，预测了其未来科技创新发展水平。2001～2016年，金砖国家综合创新竞争力整体呈现上升趋势，中国和俄罗斯增速较快，印度增速居中，巴西和南非增速趋缓。本报告从创新基础、创新环境、创新投入、创新产出和创新持续等五个方面分析了综合创新竞争力的变化原因。预测显示，未来5年，五国综合创新指数呈上升态势，中国和俄罗斯上升势头迅猛，印度增速居中，巴西和南非缓慢上升，可望走出低谷。预测到2030年，五国科技创新综合竞争力将持续增强。本文在金砖国家科技创新合作部分，从国际科技创新合作项目、基地和科技人文交流三个方面梳理了中国与金砖国家科技创新合作现状，分析了存在的问题，提出了相关建议。
BRICS are major countries leading STI progress of developing countries and also an important force of global STI development. Based on the previous study，this part evaluates the comprehensive innovation competitiveness of BRICS countries and forecasts their future STI development. Between 2001-2016，the overall level of innovation competitiveness of BRICS countries is on the rise with rapid growth rate in Russia and China，medium growth rate in India，and relatively slow growth seen in Brazil and South Africa. The report analyzes the reasons behind changes of innovation competitiveness of BRICS countries from five perspectives，including innovation foundation，innovation environment，input，output and sustained innovation. It is predicted that innovation indexes of BRICKS countries would keep rising in the coming five years. China and Russia will see rapid growth rate while India would maintain medium growth rate with Brazil and South Africa being expected to rise from trough at a relatively slow pace. By 2030，the comprehensive innovation competitiveness of BRICS countries will be further strengthened. As to the STI cooperation among BRICKS countries，this part reviews China’s STI cooperation with other four BRICS countries in terms of cooperation in international STI projects，international STI bases and STI people-to-people exchanges，based on which the report identifies some problems and comes up suggestions.
