随着中国-东盟自由贸易区的进一步发展,中国和泰国之间的经济合作也越来越频繁,深入研究两国服务贸易对经济增长的贡献具有较强的现实意义。本文基于Balassa开放经济下出口扩展型总量生产函数,使用1990~2015年服务贸易面板数据,利用SUR方法,对中国和泰国服务贸易对经济增长的贡献度进行实证分析,并在实证分析研究的基础上,进一步提出中泰两国服务贸易发展策略。
In recent years,with a higher productivity and a more sophisticated opening-up policy,Sino-Thailand bilateral trade in agricultural products has kept steadily growing. This article studies,according to the latest product similarity index,market similarity index,trade complementation index,and the competition of agricultural products between China and Thailand in the international agricultural trade. The study shows that in the global agricultural product market,Thailand maintains its competitive advantage over China in general terms. However,Thai agricultural products much differ from those of China which leads to a low competition of farm products between China and Thailand in the global market. Conversely,in Sino-Thailand bilateral agricultural trade,competition plays the major role while complementation,a minor one.