中国银行业及其金融业开放对于中国全面对外开放具有重要意义。本文通过广东银行业调研数据估算FDI壁垒指数,推算中国银行业实际对外开放度,并综合采用层次分析和模糊数学分析的方法,衡量政策性与隐性壁垒因素的影响。结果表明,加入WTO十几年来,中国银行业对外开放度仍然较低,主要原因是政策限制放松之后,还存在大量隐性壁垒,尤其是信用风险和政府对国有银行的无形保护等,严重影响了银行业对外开放。最后提出相关政策建议。
The opening of China’s banking industry and financial industry is of great significance to China’s overall opening up to the outside world. This paper use the Guangdong banking industry survey data to estimate the FDI barrier index and the actual opening degree of China’s banking. Then the paper adopt the analysis method of AHP and fuzzy mathematics to measure the effect of policy factors and recessive barriers. The results show that China’s banking industry opening degree is still low after ten years of joining the WTO. The main reason is that after the policy restrictions relaxed,there is still a lot of hidden barriers,especially the credit risk of the state-owned banks and the government of the intangible protection. It seriously affect the opening of banking industry. Finally this paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions.
Keywords: | ChinaBanking FDIHidden Barriers |