随着日本经济的发展，日本的进出口贸易产品结构也随之发生了显著变化。本文在回顾与分析日本贸易结构变迁的基础上，从理论层面说明了商品贸易、服务贸易及技术贸易具有扩散效应，能够推动日本全要素生产率增长，并使用时间序列的分析方法，实证分析了贸易结构变化对日本全要素生产率的影响。实证结果表明，货物的出口及服务的进口有助于日本全要素生产率的提高，而技术贸易增加对日本全要素生产率的提升作用不明显。
Japan’s import and export trade product structure has already taken significant changes during the process of Japanese economic development. On the basis of reviewing the change of Japan’s trade structure，the article discusses the diffusion effect of commodity trade，service trade and technology trade on the theoretical level，which promotes the growth of Japanese total factor productivity. Using the method of time series analysis，it also analyzes the impact of trade structure change on Japanese total factor productivity. The empirical result shows that the export of goods and the import of services contribute to the increase of total factor productivity in Japan，while the increase of technology trade has little effect on the improvement of total factor productivity in Japan.
| Keywords： | Trade StructureTotal Factor ProductivityDiffusion EffectImport and Export TradeTechnology Trade |
