2016年阿富汗形势继续恶化。政治方面，“双权力中心”矛盾没有缓解，高层内部矛盾上升。经济方面，难以找到有效支撑，严重依赖外部“输血”。安全方面，塔利班在多个地区与政府军激战，阿当局控制的区域不断缩减。塔利班领导人曼苏尔被炸死后，阿富汗和谈进程被迫中断，2016年处于停滞状态。同时，“伊斯兰国”加大向阿富汗渗透的力度，使阿富汗形势更加复杂。中亚地区与阿富汗山水相连，阿富汗形势对中亚地区的安全形势产生直接影响。尤其是近年来阿富汗北部地区的安全形势明显恶化，塔吉克斯坦与阿富汗的边界地区、土库曼斯坦与阿富汗的边界地区聚集了大量武装分子，对中亚国家构成直接威胁。“伊斯兰国”对阿富汗及中亚地区的渗透使中亚各国面临的恐怖威胁上升。中亚国家高度重视阿富汗局势对中亚地区的影响，积极采取各种措施加以应对。
The Situation in Afghanistan continued to deteriorate in 2016. In the field of politics，“double power center” problem has not been drastically solved. Internal contradictions of senior government officials grew in depth. In the field of economy，it is difficult to effective support for development，heavily dependent on external aid. In the field of security，Taliban fought with government troops in various regions. Areas controlled by Afghanistan government were shrinking. After the death of Taliban’s leader Mansour，peace negotiations were interrupted and were in suspended animation in 2016. At the same time，it makes the situation in Afghanistan more complex that ISIS reinforced penetration in Afghanistan. Central Asia and Afghanistan are connected by common mountains and rivers. The situation in Afghanistan has a direct impact on security in Central Asia，especially the situation in north Afghanistan deteriorated in recent years. In the borders between Tajikistan and Afghanistan，as well as in the borders between Turkmenistan and Afghanistan militants gathered，threatening the stability and security of Central Asian countries. The threats of penetration of ISIS in Afghanistan and Central Asia to Central Asian countries are rising. Central Asian countries attached great importance to the influences of situation in Afghanistan on Central Asia，actively took measures to respond.
