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上合组织2016年发展形势分析与展望

文章摘要

2016年是上合组织成立15周年,国际格局经历复杂深刻的调整与变化,世界形势不确定性增加。全球化遭遇前所未有的阻力,世界经济下行压力增大。发达经济体分化加剧,新兴经济体在曲折中发展。传统安全问题与非传统安全问题交织显现,地区安全风险与挑战增多。上合组织在“一带一路”倡议推动下多边经济合作进入快车道,安全合作机制深化,人文合作领域拓宽。印巴签订备忘录启动加入进程,成员国打造区域“利益共同体”和“命运共同体”意识增强,上合组织地区吸引力和影响力不断扩大,面临新挑战新机遇,上合组织发展将进入新的机遇期。

Abstract

2016 was the 15th anniversary of the establishment of the SCO,the international situation experienced complex and profound adjustment and change,and the uncertainty of world’s situation increased. Globalization was faced with unprecedented resistance,and the pressure of world’s economic downward increased. The differentiation of developed economies intensified and emerging economies has been developing in twists and turns. Traditional security issues and non-traditional security issues are intertwined,with regional security risks and challenges increasing. The SCO has been promoting multilateral economic cooperation into the fast lane,deepening the security cooperation mechanism and widening the field of humanities cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiatives. India and Pakistan signed a memorandum to start the process of joining,members’ consciousnesses of creating regional “interest community” and “fate community” increased,the regional attraction and influence of the SCO continued to expand,which faced with new challenges and new opportunities,and the development of the SCO will enter a new period of opportunity.

作者简介
李进峰:李进峰,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所党委书记、中国社会科学院上海合作组织研究中心执行主任。