2015年10月《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(TPP)谈判各方达成初步协议,韩国国内关于加入TPP的政策论争进一步升温。“不加入的损失大于加入的收益”已成为韩国国内基本共识,但在加入的进度和方式上,仍有“尽快加入”和“稳步加入”两种观点之争。随着近乎与所有主要贸易伙伴建立FTA,韩国的贸易战略面临新的、更高层次的挑战。加入TPP将有助于加速完成韩国的FTA战略布局,对其成为地区一体化的基轴和“全球通商国”的战略目标意义重大,但鉴于选举周期、产业冲击、规制改革、谈判准备等因素,谨慎行事仍是韩国政府的基本选择。
In October 2015,the negotiating parties of the Trans-Pacific Partnership(TPP)reached a preliminary agreement,which added fuel to the heated debate on the accession to TPP in Korea. The recognition that “the loss of non-accession is bigger than the benefit of accession” has become a basic domestic consensus in Korea,however there are still two camps,namely “early accession” vs. “prudent accession”,in terms of the pace and pattern of the accession. After establishing FTAs with nearly all the major trading partners,Korea is now facing a new and higher level of challenge in its trade strategy. Joining the TPP will certainly help to accelerate the completion of Korea’s FTA strategy,and therefore is significant to its strategic aim of being a linchpin in the regional integration and a “global trading state”. But due to the election cycle,the industry impact,the regulatory reform,the preparation for negotiations and other factors,Seoul will probably still pursue a option of caution and prudence.