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金砖国家合作框架下的中国与巴西多边合作

文章摘要

本文旨在探讨金砖国家组织作为南南合作平台的重要性及其在推动全球治理机构民主化过程中所发挥的重要作用。新开发银行(NDB)的建立、应急储备安排(CRA)的批准以及金砖国家加入亚洲基础设施投资银行(AIIB)等都充分表明了其成员国之间的合作潜力,这种潜力由于最近两次峰会——2015年俄罗斯乌法峰会和2016年印度果阿峰会的宣言而得到增强。不过,随着迪尔玛·罗塞夫被革职和米歇尔·特梅尔上台,一旦新政府的外交选择倾向于遵从全球秩序中的霸权国家的旨意,那么,巴西政坛的变化可能会危及金砖国家组织的进展。鉴于巴西政治体系的分裂可能会制约金砖国家组织框架下的中巴政治合作,面对中国经济新常态对双边贸易和投资的影响,尤其是“一带一路”倡议下的基础设施建设项目,我们有必要对与此相关的中巴经济合作的可能性进行探讨。

Abstract

This paper aims to reflect on the importance of the BRICS group as a South-South cooperation platform and also as an important player intending to democratize global governance institutions. The creation of the New Development Bank(NDB),the Contingent Reserve Arrangement(CRA)and also the accession of BRICS countries to The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank(AIIB)are significant examples of the potential of cooperation among these countries,reinforced by the declarations of the recent two Summits,held in Ufa,Russia,in 2015,and in Goa,India,in 2016. However,the change of government in Brazil,with the deposition of Dilma Rousseff and the rise of Michel Temer,may jeopardize the group’s progress once the new government’s diplomatic options tend to align with the directives of the hegemonic powers in the global order. Faced with this rupture of the Brazilian political system that may narrow the political coordination between Brazil and China within the BRICS Group,it is important to discuss the potential to cooperation in economic terms related to the impacts of the “New Normal” of the Chinese economy on bilateral trade and investments,specifically the infrastructure projects under “The Belt One Road” Initiative.

作者简介
〔巴西〕Marcos Cordeiro Pires:Marcos Cordeiro Pires,经济史博士,巴西圣保罗州州立大学哲学学院政治系与经济系副教授。
〔巴西〕Hermes Moreira Junior:Hermes Moreira Junior,国际关系博士,巴西格兰德多拉杜联邦大学法律与国际关系学院教授。
李萌: