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玻利维亚:经济持续增长,修宪公投失败

文章摘要

2015年玻利维亚政局发生一些变化。莫拉莱斯总统于1月22日宣誓就职,正式进入其第三个任期。随后组织新一届内阁,变更了2/3内阁成员。在2016年2月21日举行的允许总统连选连任的修宪公投中,莫拉莱斯失利,无缘角逐第四任期。2015年玻利维亚经济增速放缓,但仍是正增长,增长幅度居拉美地区第四位。莫拉莱斯继续通过扩大公共开支等反周期政策刺激经济增长,着重发展能源和基础设施产业。2015年玻利维亚的主要社会指标有所改善,但在修筑TIPNIS公路问题上与原住民发生矛盾和冲突,导致莫拉莱斯的社会政治基础发生分裂。解决太平洋出海口问题仍是玻利维亚2015年最优先的外交事务。2015年是玻中建交30周年,中国扩大对玻利维亚投资和中国企业大规模走进玻利维亚是最大亮点。

Abstract

In 2015,some changes took place in the political sphere of Bolivia. Evo Morales took office for a third consecutive five-year term on January 22nd,2015,and then appointed a new cabinet with two thirds of cabinet members changed. Although the Bolivian economy continued to grow under the Morales administration,he lost in a constitutional referendum held on February 21st 2016 that would allow him to run for re-election in 2019 for another term. In his third term,President Morales concentrated his efforts on planning and developing energy and infrastructure programmes to tackle Bolivia’s numerous development needs. Bolivia focused on restoring sovereign access to the Pacific coast that continued to complicate the relationship with Chile. It strengthened relations with Russia and France in the nuclear energy field and with Argentina in the military area. The relationship between Bolivia and China was also deepened,which was underpinned by China’s increasing economic interest in Bolivia,including providing investment in infrastructure and mining.

作者简介
宋霞:宋霞,北京大学历史学博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所副研究员。