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“一带一路”倡议面临的挑战

文章摘要

“一带一路”是中国的一项宏伟计划,预示着中国将通过已具备的实力和平崛起,在国际事务中发挥更积极的作用。但国际政治复杂多变,实施这一计划的难度可想而知,所以“一带一路”的运作过程会充满挑战。在这条通往欧洲的漫长陆海通道上,这些挑战有来自地缘政治方面的,如历史、文化、民族、宗教、政治制度和价值观的差异,以及世界级大国和区域性大国在这一区域内的利益冲突,都会对计划的实施带来阻碍;有来自安全因素方面的,如区域安全、国别安全和投资安全,这需要我们认真评估投资的安全保障;也有来自经济和环境因素方面的,如在投资上如何做好与投资所在国的经济和社会发展融为一体,同时注意环境保护;还有来自市场因素方面的,如经济和非经济因素的影响。所以,我们要用新的思维来分析和研究挑战,提出应对之道,实现中国的强国之梦。

Abstract

“The Belt and Road” is an ambitious project of China,indicating that China will rise peacefully by its achieved strength and play a more active role in international affairs. We can imagine how complicated and difficult to implement the project in the current world political environment. The operation of “the Belt and Road” will have the full of challenges. No matter by land or by sea,it will be a long journey from China to Europe through the project. On the way,the challenges will come from geopolitical differences,such as historical,cultural,ethnic,religious,political systems and values,as well as the conflicts of interest from international superpowers and regional powers in the area. They will bring obstacles on the implementation of the project. And the challenges will come from safety and security factors,such as regional securities,nation’s securities,and investment securities,which all require us to evaluate these safety and security issues carefully before any investment. And the challenges will come from economic and environmental factors,and our investment should be combined with local economic and social development,as well as environmental protection applied locally. And the challenges will also come from aspects of market including those economic and non-economic factors. Therefore,we have to have a new way of thinking to analyze and research challenges,to propose the corresponding countermeasures,and to achieve the dream of China’s power.

作者简介
黄泽华:黄泽华,上海社会科学院港澳研究中心常务理事,主要从事港澳台问题及世界经济研究。