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“回不到过去,看不到未来”——中东乱局仍将向纵深发展

文章摘要

中东剧变数年来,中东乱局持续加剧,目前面临四大危机:国家治理危机;地区秩序重建危机;主权体系危机;大国政策模式危机。在国际经济危机深化、油价持续暴跌、美国战略收缩加快的背景下,中东各种矛盾仍将向纵深发展。

Abstract

Years after the upheaval,the chaos continues to intensify in the Middle East. At present,there are four major crises:the crisis of national governance,the crisis of regional order reconstruction,the crisis of sovereign system,and the crisis of policy model of great powers. Against the backdrop of the deepening international economic crisis,the continued plummeting of oil prices,and America’s accelerated strategic contraction,it can be anticipated that the various conflicts and contradictions in the Middle East will develop in depth and breadth.

作者简介
田文林:田文林,中国现代国际关系研究院副研究员、博士,主要研究中东政治问题。