2015年,以色列政坛最为重大的事件是第20届议会和第34届政府的选举。围绕此次大选,以色列各大党派之间展开了激烈的角逐和博弈。大选过后,利库德集团虽然成为第一大党并获得组阁权,但其组阁之路并不平坦,几经艰难建立的联合政府仅在议会中拥有一席多数。新一届政府成立后,以色列的内政外交政策没有发生大的改变,但由于宗教党派加入到执政联盟,之前政府做出的民主化改革基本上被推翻。在执政效率方面,新政府具有一定的执政能力,但微弱的议会多数影响着联合政府的运行。本文以2015年以色列大选为切入点,分析大选中各大党派的立场及选举策略,揭示大选的认同政治特征以及大选后内塔尼亚胡艰难的组阁过程,最后,分析了新一届政府的施政方针以及所面临的挑战。
In 2015,the central event in Israeli politics was the election of Israel’s 20th Knesset and 34th government. Revolving around the election,the major Israeli parties conducted fierce political campaigning. Following the election,Likud became the leading party in the Knesset(parliament)and was authorized to build the new government,not a simple task to say the least. The new coalition government occupies a one-seat majority in the Knesset. After taking office,the coalition’s domestic and foreign policies underwent no significant shift. Nevertheless,with the joining of religious parties,the democratic reform made by the former government was greatly mitigated. As far as governing quality was concerned,the new administration’s razor-thin majority deeply influenced its governing efficiency. Taking Israeli election in 2015 as the entry point,this report analyzes the major parties’ stances and strategies before the election,reveals the feature termed “Israel’s identity politics” while touching on Netanyahu’s difficult course in forming the cabinet. Moreover,this report analyzes the administrative policies of the new government and the challenges it will face as it attempts to form a representative and efficient coalition.