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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

泰国宏观经济形势、政策走向与潜力产业

文章摘要

自2014年5月22日军方接管政权以来,泰国得到了一段相对稳定的时间来发展本国经济。在国际经济缓慢复苏的形势下,2015年泰国经济取得了2.8%的增长率来之不易,这主要受益于旅游业及政府在发展基础设施和农村发展基金等方面的举措。以往民选政府更多地考虑能够短期见效且取悦于民的政策,但未能从根本上解决经济结构性问题。现政府决意变危机为机遇,于2015年颁布实施了对泰国经济产生重大影响的三大战略,即战略性基础设施建设、超级产业集群政策和经济发展特区建设。随着上述三大战略的实施,外来投资不断增加,旅游收入持续增长,出口逐渐好转,预测泰国经济2016年GDP增长率为3.2%,并为摆脱中等收入国家陷阱、实现经济可持续增长打下了基础。

Abstract

Since May 22,2014 military forces took control of the government,Thailand has gone through a relatively stable period of time to develop economy. Upon with slowly recovered international economy,Thailand has made 2.8% economic growth rate in 2015,which is also hard to come by. All these are benefited from tourism and the government in infrastructure development and rural development fund measures. Compared with the previous civilian government,the elected government has given more consideration to the short-term effect of some of the policies to the people,but the implementation of the policy does not fundamentally solve the structural problems of the economy. Government decided to change the crisis into opportunities,in 2015promulgated and implemented three significant strategies:the strategy of development of transport infrastructure,the strategy of super industrial cluster and the strategy of special economic development zone. With the implementation of the strategy,foreign investment will increase,tourism will continue to grow and export will be improved and it is predicted that the GDP growth rate of Thailand in 2016 will be reaching 3.2%. It will build strong base for Thailand to get rid of middle-income trap and maintain sustainable economic growth.

作者简介
李仁良:李仁良,泰国国家发展管理学院社会与环境发展学院讲师,博士,华侨大学泰国研究所暨诗琳通中泰关系研究中心兼职研究员,主要研究方向:公共政策、中泰关系、东盟研究。