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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

世界煤炭市场:供求与投资、并购

文章摘要

本文从市场需求、供给、投资、贸易、并购等方面对当前世界煤炭市场的基本特点和发展趋势进行了分析。分析认为,2013年全球煤炭消费增速继续放缓,主要煤炭消费国煤炭需求相对低迷;世界煤炭总产量趋于平稳,国际煤价走势震荡;煤炭投资总体增速呈下行趋势;主要产煤国出口贸易呈上升趋势,主要煤炭消费国扩大煤炭进口规模;发展中国家煤炭海外并购步伐加快。2014年世界煤炭需求将逐步回暖,下游行业的拉动作用将趋于平稳;总体供给形势有所好转,投资增速有所回升;煤炭贸易保持平稳,印度或成为全球最大的煤炭进口国;煤炭资源海外争夺将趋于激烈。

Abstract

The paper analyzes the basic features and development tendencies about the current world coal market from its demand,supply,investment,trade,mergers and acquisitions and so on. This paper also argues that the growth rate of worldwide coal consumption continues slowing down in 2013,and demand from the main coal consuming nations is relatively weak. The total coal production in the world starts to decline,and the international coal prices are volatile. Coal investment presents the downward trend. However,the export trades in main coal-producing countries are on the rise.And the big coal consuming nations expand the scale of their imports. In addition,developing countries speed the pace up in coal overseas M&A. In 2014,worldwide coal demand would gradually warm up as well as the pulling function of down stream industry would level off. Besides,the overall supply situation would be improved with active investment growth. Coal trade would keep steady. It is considered that India would be the biggest coal importer in the world. A large number of facts proved the coal resources would have more intense international competition.

作者简介
宋梅:宋梅,中国矿业大学(北京)副教授,管理学博士。