2015年拉美地区的经济增长率预计为0.5%，较2014年进一步放缓。当前，拉美面临的内外经济形势较为严峻。从内部来看，拉美各国经济增长疲弱、通货膨胀和货币贬值加剧、经济不确定性增加；从外部来看，国际大宗商品价格下跌、美联储加息为该地区增加了新的风险。这造成拉美主要国家或陷入负增长，或维持在低位水平。除经济增长疲弱外，当前拉美金融动荡局势加剧，但爆发20世纪80年代那样的债务危机的可能性不大。2016年，受美国经济复苏、中国经济企稳等因素影响，拉美地区外需有望好转，国际大宗商品价格可能企稳，预计经济增长在2.0%左右。
Latin American economic growth rate is estimated to be 0.5% in 2015，a further downward trend can be found compared to 2014. Currently，Latin America is undergoing a grave situation in terms of the internal and external economics. From the internal point of view，the weak economic growth and high pressure of inflation as well as currency depreciation contribute together to increase the uncertainty of economic situation. From the external point of view，the decrease of international commodity prices and the expectation of interest rate hike of the Fed have added to the region new risk. This causes the negative or low level economic growth rates of the major countries in Latin American. In addition，the current financial situation in Latin America intensifies the weak economic growth. However，the possibility of a debt crisis like the last century is not that high. Along with the recovery of U.S economy as well as the stability of China’s economy with the gradually stabilized prices of international commodities，the economic growth rate in Latin American is expected to reach at 2.0% in 2016 approximately.
