2012年,在全球经济疲弱且充满不确定性的背景下,非洲经济却强劲反弹,经济增速远超世界平均水平。2013年,非洲将继续受益于大宗商品繁荣、国内需求旺盛、资源新发现以及与新兴经济体的贸易、投资往来,非洲经济将保持上升态势,并可能重回高增长轨道。非洲经济运行也面临不少内部和外部风险,经济增长质量也亟须提高。通过结构性转型和工业化进一步释放经济潜力,实现包容性的可持续增长,将决定着非洲中长期经济发展前景。
Africa registered a robust rebound with growth of 5.0%in 2012,well above the world average,despite the global economic slowdown and high uncertainty. The upward trend is expected to continue in 2013,with growth reaching 4.8%. The key factors underpinning Africa’s strong growth prospect include high commodity demand in the international market,rising domestic demand associated with rising incomes and urbanization,recent discoveries of natural resources,and increasing trade and investment ties with emerging economies. However,this positive growth outlook is subject to several internal and external downside risks,and more efforts are needed to improve the quality of economic growth. Africa’s mid-and-long term prospects depend on the ability of the continent to trigger resource-based industrialization as an engine of sustainable structural transformation and inclusive growth.