受到制造业持续走弱、资本外流规模扩大、外部需求减弱以及能源价格下跌等不利因素的影响，俄罗斯经济在2013～2014年间的增长压力倍增，增速下滑趋势明显。俄乌紧张局势以及由此引发的经济制裁与反制裁，对俄罗斯融资成本、油气生产、进出口贸易等的影响更不容小觑。我们预计，美欧和俄罗斯之间的相互制裁可能不会持续太长时间。俄罗斯化解目前内外交困的窘境，关键还在于经济结构转型。
Russia’s economic growth is under huge pressure between 2013 and 2014. The growth rate declines significantly because of continued weak manufacturing，increasing capital outflows，declining external demand and the dropping energy price. Tensions between Russia and Ukraine and the consequent economic sanctions have the neglectable impact on the cost of oil financing and gas productions as well as Russian international trade. We predict sanctions from US and Europe to Russia may not last for a long time. The key to resolve the current dilemma of Russia relies on economic restructure.
