2013年将出现全球货币宽松和世界经济增长率回升的局面，货币金融因素和实体经济均会继续推动国际大宗商品价格上涨，国际大宗商品市场价格整体上可能出现稳中有升的情况。原油市场可能是个特例，国际石油市场将出现长期性的供给过剩。只要不出现战争等重大的冲击，原油价格将在2013年出现下降趋势。
International commodity prices except crude petroleum price will increase in 2013 because of easy monetary policies worldwide and the rise of world GDP growth rate.There will be long-term surplus in oil supply beginning in 2013.Oil price will decrease in the long term as long as there are no wars inducing shocks of oil supply and demand.
